By Adam Pagnucco. The precinct results on Montgomery County’s Question B, the charter amendment imposing term limits on the County Executive and County Council, are in. The message they contain has significant implications for the next election. First, let’s look at the overall results by type of vote. Term limits passed overwhelmingly among early voters, … Continue reading Term Limits Vote by Precinct
Continuing from yesterday’s list of safe Democratic seats in the House of Delegates, today’s post looks at safe Republican seats. All were carried by Trump in 2016 and Hogan in 2014. At 31% of the House, the 44 safe seats fall well short of being able to sustain a veto by a Republican governor. Western … Continue reading 2018 Maryland House of Delegates Ratings, Part II
By Adam Pagnucco. Last week, Governor Larry Hogan caused a splash in Ocean City with his new Executive Order mandating a post-Labor Day start for public schools. A few Democrats, led by Baltimore City Senator Bill Ferguson, Montgomery County Delegate Eric Luedtke and Montgomery County Senator Rich Madaleno, have pushed back hard. The two sides … Continue reading Democrats, Be Careful on Labor Day
A guest blog by Adam Pagnucco. It’s time to dig deeper on geography. Below are election day results for every state legislative district overlapping with Congressional District 8. Of the twelve legislative districts sharing precincts with CD8, David Trone won nine of them. Predictably, he won the five legislative districts in Carroll and Frederick Counties, … Continue reading CD8 Primary Election Results, Part Two
Today, I am pleased to present a guest post by Dels. Marc Korman (D-16) and Erek Barron (D-24): When we arrived in Annapolis in January of 2015, we immediately partnered to form the WMATA-Metro Work Group and bring more attention to issues related to Metro in Annapolis. After all, the state invests hundreds of millions … Continue reading Ideas for Metro
The General Assembly couldn’t manage to pass an increase in the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC) even though both houses supported it. In contrast, the bill giving Northrup Grumman a $37.5 million tax credit sailed to passage. Who in the Maryland Senate supported this fine example of corporate welfare? One Republican Against Corporate Welfare Just … Continue reading Senators for Corporate Welfare
Today, I am pleased to present a guest post from Adam Pagnucco: Long-time District 8 Congressman Chris Van Hollen is now running for the U.S. Senate. Who will succeed him? No one knows because this race is wide open. That’s right, wide open. Announced or potential candidates include At-Large Councilmembers Nancy Floreen and Hans Riemer, … Continue reading CD8 is Wide Open
Moderates in the House of Delegates did not have a good election. The following is a list of the 21 most moderate delegates going into the 2014 elections, according to Boris Shor and Nolan McCarty’s measure of state legislator ideology: Among the 21 moderates, only six ran and won reelection. All but one seat that … Continue reading Massacre of the Moderates
America in Miniature has very distinct political regions. I’ve divided Maryland into seven here. Republicans eliminated many of the remaining Democratic officeholders in 2014 in three rock-ribbed Republican regions–Western Maryland, Eastern Shore, and Outer Baltimore Bastions. Democrats retain iron grips on the Washington Suburbs and Baltimore City. These areas have very completely different interests and … Continue reading Regional Political Chasm Expands
The following three tables compare the results in House, Senate, and Governors races with the presidential results in 2012. The first chart shows all 17 U.S. House districts that have flipped parties. Republicans gained four seats that Romney won but also made inroads by winning 11 seats that Obama carried. Republicans lost two seats–one centered … Continue reading 2014 v. 2012 Results from Around the Country
